ForeComp - Size-Power Tradeoff Visualization for Equal Predictive Ability
of Two Forecasts
Offers tools for visualizing and analyzing size and power
properties of tests for equal predictive accuracy, including
Diebold-Mariano and related procedures. Provides multiple
Diebold-Mariano test implementations based on fixed-smoothing
approaches, including fixed-b methods such as Kiefer and
Vogelsang (2005) <doi:10.1017/S0266466605050565>, and
applications to tests for equal predictive accuracy as in
Coroneo and Iacone (2020) <doi:10.1002/jae.2756>, alongside
conventional large-sample approximations. HAR inference
involves nonparametric estimation of the long-run variance, and
a key tuning parameter (the truncation parameter) trades off
size and power. Lazarus, Lewis, and Stock (2021)
<doi:10.3982/ECTA15404> theoretically characterize the
size-power frontier for the Gaussian multivariate location
model. 'ForeComp' computes and visualizes the finite-sample
size-power frontier of the Diebold-Mariano test based on
fixed-b asymptotics together with the Bartlett kernel. To
compute finite-sample size and power, it fits a best
approximating ARMA process to the input data and reports how
the truncation parameter performs and how robust testing
outcomes are to its choice.